2016 Early Primary State Polls
2016 Early Primary State Polls
Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus
| Poll | Date | Trump | Carson | Cruz | Fiorina | Rubio | Bush | Walker | Huckabee | Paul | Jindal | Kasich | Santorum | Christie | Perry | Graham | Spread |
|---|
| RCP Average | 8/26 - 9/20 | 27.3 | 21.3 | 7.8 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Trump +6.0 |
| PPP (D) | 9/18 - 9/20 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -- | 0 | Trump +7 |
| CBS/YouGov | 9/3 - 9/10 | 29 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +4 |
| Quinnipiac | 8/27 - 9/8 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Trump +6 |
| NBC/Marist | 8/26 - 9/2 | 29 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Trump +7 |
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary
| Poll | Date | Trump | Carson | Kasich | Fiorina | Bush | Cruz | Paul | Rubio | Christie | Walker | Huckabee | Graham | Pataki | Jindal | Santorum | Spread |
|---|
| RCP Average | 8/26 - 9/14 | 29.5 | 14.5 | 10.3 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Trump +15.0 |
| WBUR | 9/12 - 9/14 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +4 |
| Monmouth | 9/10 - 9/13 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Trump +11 |
| CBS/YouGov | 9/3 - 9/10 | 40 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +28 |
| NBC/Marist | 8/26 - 9/2 | 28 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Trump +16 |
South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary
| Poll | Date | Trump | Carson | Bush | Cruz | Rubio | Fiorina | Graham | Kasich | Walker | Huckabee | Paul | Christie | Jindal | Perry | Spread |
|---|
| RCP Average | 8/20 - 9/10 | 34.3 | 19.0 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | Trump +15.3 |
| CBS/YouGov | 9/3 - 9/10 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Trump +15 |
| PPP (D) | 9/3 - 9/6 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Trump +16 |
| Monmouth | 8/20 - 8/23 | 30 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Trump +15 |
Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus
| Poll | Date | Sample | Clinton | Sanders | Biden | O'Malley | Webb | Chafee | Spread |
|---|
| RCP Average | 8/26 - 9/20 | -- | 38.5 | 33.3 | 14.8 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | Clinton +5.2 |
| PPP (D) | 9/18 - 9/20 | 488 RV | 43 | 22 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 2 | Clinton +21 |
| CBS News/YouGov | 9/3 - 9/10 | 646 LV | 33 | 43 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Sanders +10 |
| Quinnipiac | 8/27 - 9/8 | 832 LV | 40 | 41 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Sanders +1 |
| NBC/Marist | 8/26 - 9/2 | 345 RV | 38 | 27 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | Clinton +11 |
New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary
| Poll | Date | Sample | Sanders | Clinton | Biden | Webb | O'Malley | Chafee | Spread |
|---|
| RCP Average | 8/26 - 9/15 | -- | 42.8 | 32.3 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | Sanders +10.5 |
| WBUR | 9/12 - 9/15 | 404 LV | 35 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Sanders +4 |
| Monmouth | 9/10 - 9/13 | 400 LV | 43 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Sanders +7 |
| CBS News/YouGov | 9/3 - 9/10 | 548 LV | 52 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Sanders +22 |
| NBC/Marist | 8/26 - 9/2 | 356 RV | 41 | 32 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Sanders +9 |
South Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary
| Poll | Date | Sample | Clinton | Biden | Sanders | Webb | O'Malley | Chafee | Spread |
|---|
| RCP Average | 9/3 - 9/10 | -- | 50.0 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | Clinton +27.0 |
| CBS News/YouGov | 9/3 - 9/10 | 528 LV | 46 | 22 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Clinton +23 |
| PPP (D) | 9/3 - 9/6 | 302 RV | 54 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Clinton +30 |
Florida Republican Presidential Primary
| Poll | Date | Trump | Carson | Bush | Rubio | Cruz | Fiorina | Kasich | Huckabee | Walker | Christie | Jindal | Santorum | Perry | Paul | Spread |
|---|
| RCP Average | 9/2 - 9/13 | 30.3 | 21.3 | 15.7 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | Trump +9.0 |
| PPP (D) | 9/11 - 9/13 | 28 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +11 |
| Gravis Marketing | 9/5 - 9/11 | 34 | 22 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Trump +12 |
| Florida Times-Union | 9/2 - 9/2 | 29 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +4 |
Florida Democratic Presidential Primary
| Poll | Date | Sample | Clinton | Sanders | Biden | O'Malley | Chafee | Webb | Spread |
|---|
| RCP Average | 8/7 - 9/13 | -- | 49.3 | 16.5 | 16.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | Clinton +32.8 |
| PPP (D) | 9/11 - 9/13 | 377 RV | 55 | 18 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Clinton +37 |
| Gravis Marketing | 9/5 - 9/11 | 693 RV | 42 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Clinton +21 |
| Florida Times-Union | 9/2 - 9/2 | 419 LV | 52 | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 1 | Clinton +32 |
| Quinnipiac | 8/7 - 8/18 | 345 RV | 48 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Clinton +33 |
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